U.S. in Highest-Risk Category for Civil War, Coup, or Collapse in CIA Model
JumpCrisscross
46 points
33 comments
September 13, 2026
Related Discussions
Found 5 related stories in 66.1ms across 6,460 title embeddings via pgvector HNSW
- America's Military Is Dangerously Exposed petethomas · 16 pts · August 10, 2026 · 47% similar
- Why is it so hard for the U.S. to win wars? rbanffy · 49 pts · July 20, 2026 · 41% similar
- Trump, not Iran, is the greatest danger 0x54MUR41 · 17 pts · July 19, 2026 · 40% similar
- Australia is the safest place during a global catastrophe, study suggests thedreammachine · 18 pts · August 27, 2026 · 40% similar
- America Broke Its Own Military robtherobber · 21 pts · July 18, 2026 · 39% similar
Discussion Highlights (9 comments)
huijzer
If the CIA could figure out how to stabilize a country that would be nice, but seems they know only how to destabilize countries when looking at their track record [1]. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_involvement_in_r...
well_ackshually
Breaking news: after being the biggest threat to world stability, the US realizes that their behavior is also a threat to their own stability.
FrankWilhoit
There are no blue states. There are only blue cities. If they wish to "secede", what that indicates is that they have not thought through how easy it is to block a road.
maelito
Yes, that's the impression from abroad, from Europe.
HPsquared
Always worth studying 1980s USSR.
alephnerd
Barbara Walter's model (which is what Armitage is leveraging) is deeply flawed and not the norm in most studies into autocracies and state instability. And to add on to that, Armitage himself has been a provocateur for "soft secession" (which is basically an attempt at trying to instigate a nullification crisis 2.0).
sandworm101
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_Fragile_S... This is why Trump's fight with canada is doomed: Trying to destabilize a top-10 country when your own country doesnt break the top 30.
assimpleaspossi
How does he know what the CIA's model says? How did he get this inside information? And shouldn't he now have a warrant out for his arrest for obtaining such a thing?
throw0101a
"High-risk category" sounds like something will happen in the future , but there's already been a coup attempt: * https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/January_6_United_States_Capito...