Total Iran Economic Damage Estimate

ashivkum

"Exclusive: Iran deal includes $300 billion fund, more than half of which already committed, source says" ( https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/iran-deal-includes-... )

dofm

It must be lower than $300bn, because that is the size of the redevelopment fund in the MoU. My reasoning: - Trump is desperate to get out of this war, so Iran can ask for more or less whatever they like, and he will get Vance to agree to it —- notice how Vance is already "the architect of the deal" because it's terrible. So Iran is overestimating. - He knows they will over-estimate, but doesn't care, since: 1) he (thinks he) is getting his allies in the region to pay and 2) the family will undoubtedly start brand new companies to bid for the work

oa335

"Our most likely estimate is that replacement costs are approximately $91 billion. Military and strategic assets — nuclear facilities, missile and drone production infrastructure, air bases, naval vessels, and air defense systems — make up roughly half that total, at approximately $46 billion, which is equivalent to 4-6 years of Iran’s pre-war defense budget" How exactly did they arrive at this estimate? I would like to see a building-by-building breakdown, or at least a methodology. Feels very vibe-researched tbh.

hokkos

So this is why the US will pay $300B for their surrender.

whalesalad

Just imagine how chill and wonderful life would be right now if Kamala had been elected.

westernmostcoy

It should be noted that this is from the Foundation For The Defense of Democracy, which is a pro-Israeli and anti-Iran lobbying group: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundation_for_Defense_of_Demo... They are not neutral actors and this webpage (which is dated to April 23rd) is not neutral either.

maykthewessen

The total cost of Operation Epic Fury (the US-led conflict with Iran that began on February 28, 2026) reached approximately $113 billion in direct military spending till April alone Spending. At parity with destruction.

pfdietz

This was the Suez Crisis for the US. It's all downhill from here. I'm expected the next Democrat president to cashier a bunch of high rank officers who went along with this. They weren't brave enough to risk their careers to object to illegal orders, so out they go.

gmuslera

Dead people doesn't count. At least until is their turn, I suppose.