The Strongest El Niño Ever Forecast and the Hunger It Will Leave Behind
fredski42
52 points
8 comments
August 13, 2026
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Discussion Highlights (2 comments)
ColdStream
It has been fascinating watching how all the model predictions have evolved over the last 8 months. Back at the start of the year, they all figured it would peak at about 2c, now almost every model is over 3c with some well above that. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/NMME/current/plume.ht... We aren't as used to this as we used to be due to the higher pace of news nowadays (increasing for decades mind you), but this is something that will unfold over the next year or two and will have a lasting tale that could go may years beyond that. Thus the predicament of climate change, it moves just slow enough that many can ignore it, but it moves fast enough that the ecosystem is being slammed by it. And the industrial civilization built on top of it? Time will tell how we manage.
gepeake
Scary. From the news I see, there are seemingly many more wildfires, hurricanes, and now heatwaves and an El Niño that are breaking their records by significantly more than the 0.1 C that the actual climate has changed in the past 10 years. It feels possibly apocalyptic to project this exponential trend forward. From the perspective of someone just reading the media I'm unable to be sure whether this is a red car effect, the media just knowing this content works, or whether this is simply the state of things. Are there any experts that might shed some light?