The state of open source AI
rellem
407 points
297 comments
July 17, 2026
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Discussion Highlights (20 comments)
hypfer
This new trend of content appearing while scrolling down is so terrible accessibility-wise, I do not understand how Mozilla of all institutions would do it. Not every trend needs to be followed. Have some backbone. You receive donations to have that. ___ Apart from the website being - frankly - bullshit, the content is also - frankly - bullshit. It's just on the frontpage because the title says "open source AI".
Cuuugi
Maybe its the wildfire smoke in my eyes, but that font choice feels aggressive.
marcuskaz
It appears open models were used to create this slop. That opening is so hard to understand what they are trying to say, from the font and how it's written. It took me several times rereading to even grasp. Plus the article is filled with cryptic things like: Open ships easy. Open deploys hard. What?! Is it a meta answer to "the state of open source AI" question?
babblingfish
Speculation: open models is what will kill Anthropic and OpenAI. Hyperscalers can run the models without a licensing fee. Apple can make them smaller and put them on the device. The frontier models are an edge and a liability. They're astronomically expensive to train. Without them, their models will fade into obscurity. Their marketing depends on people believing the models are meaningfully different, as people have sweatily argued on this forum. Personally, I'm not convinced there's much of a difference between these models at this point. The harness is what takes these random and hallucinogenic models and make them into something deterministic and useful.
jdw64
The UI is really hard on the eyes. Personally, I think the font size is way too big, and the animation timing feels off. If this is a benchmark page and not a product page, I feel like the information should be scannable at a glance. The UX is bad.
positron26
Just like how the web was won? I think Mozilla is chasing a past formula, but the projection isn't linear enough to remain consistent, and the critical parts of the outcome, utter centralization of the market dominance of the three C's, are left out of the equation. We might get the consolation prize, a few nerds having competitive alternatives to applaud, but we will be left with the hidden costs: stagnation by bloated market leaders, consumers and businesses pouring trillions of dollars into the commercial offerings while open development wonders where money comes from, and the leakage of these imbalances into political and social spheres. If we follow a Mozilla template and get to the peak of Mozilla's success at the web, look at what that really is. Facebook, Amazon, Google etc are orthogonal to that equation.
amanharshx
The design and layout made it harder to read than it needed to be. Regardless, the inference costs dropping almost 50× is really amazing to see. And now Kimi K3 release has shown how open models are getting closer to the frontier level already. Open source AI is moving a lot faster than Anthropic and OpenAI would have expected lol.
latexr
Quick fix for the font, which many people are (rightly) complaining about. Array.from(document.getElementsByClassName("quote")).forEach(p => { p.style.marginTop = "20px"; p.classList.remove("quote", "reveal") }) The issue is that all of the text is a quote, and that renders enormous. That’s probably fine for a tiny quote amongst more text, but here it is jarring.
brunooliv
This is really insane to me. There's nothing practical about open-source models yet that makes them even remotely comparable to closed frontier models. All the hype around GLM, Qwen, now Kimi.... Are people really this naive that they believe these reports or, more worringly, are people NOT using these models and seeing the HUGE gap that still exists? Take a task, any medium-sized task, decently scoped that you'd trust to give to Sonnet to finish without a hitch. Now give it to ANY open-source frontier model and watch them struggle and go in circles while failing tool calls and randomly assuming things. Open-source is and has been amazing but its so hard to deploy reliably and at scale and there's still big problems in the underlying models with instruction following and tool calling that makes it basically unusable for production workloads at a decent price point...
fan__glm52
https://stateofopensource.ai/state-of-open-source-ai-2026.pd... the pdf is easier to read
progx
"Open won"... to be fair cause "google paid it".
dosinga
> Mozilla exists because one company tried to own the front door to the web, and an open community rose up to make sure it never could. I'd say that the front door to the web is pretty much owned by Google and Apple at this point given Firefox current marketshare. And maybe that's enough, maybe a future where a low percentage of open models keep the rest of the system honest but that doesn't seem the argument of this article
bityard
It sure is nice to see that Mozilla is still doing all that they can to keep on top of current trends, except developing a decent privacy-focused web browser for developers and power users.
urbsgpw
Haven't been following the articles and snippets we get from these labs about training their models for a while. But I'm guessing the latest chinese models are way less based on distilling? If not, then your speed of progress is still limited by the two labs (which we are collectively, in various forms subsidizing).
GodelNumbering
Exactly 4 months ago, the marketshare on openrouter was 60%-40% in favor of closed models. Now it's 63%-37% in favor of open models. On March 19th, the open models processed 888B tokens in aggregate, yesterday, they processed 4.19T tokens in aggregate. That's almost 5x in 4 months! I can't think of the right intensifier to describe this level of growth. If you are looking for more details (as inferred by openrouter data), I built a dashboard that updates daily: https://dirac.run/labs-market-share
gyulai
Title: The state of open source AI. First sentence: In New Zealand's far north, a Māori broadcaster... ...oh boy, that's all you need to read to know what kind of media diet the writer is on.
hughw
Is the CTO a bot?
inigyou
There isn't any open-source AI. There is Open AI (not to be confused with the closed company called OpenAI, which was unable to trademark its name). There's no open source AI both because the open source community doesn't have the resources to train a useful AI and because AI doesn't have source code.
draxil
Almost all about open weight, but the title says Open Source.
Catloafdev
As someone that's generally for the proliferation of open models, I want to take this seriously, but it's really difficult when it was clearly written by AI. I guess they fired whoever used to write copy for these things. Edit: to be clear, I'm not trying to just dunk on them, I think it's actively hurting their own point to do this, and counter-productive when people can easily clock it - it makes some percent of the audience immediately tune out.