The logic of gambling undergirds everything coming out of Silicon Valley

ripe 24 points 12 comments October 05, 2026
www.nytimes.com · View on Hacker News

Discussion Highlights (5 comments)

hoppyhoppy2

NYT gift link: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/04/magazine/gambling-predict... archive.is link: https://archive.is/fkhaL

davesque

This article's argument in a few sentences: * Silicon valley gave us DraftKings, Polymarket, and crypto. * Modern business planning and venture capital firms make "bets" based on the expected value of investments, i.e. probability of success. * LLMs compute a probability distribution on the next token. Therefore everything that silicon valley does looks like gambling and shame on them. Sad times seeing stuff like this in the paper of record.

thesmtsolver2

When the geniuses at NYT discover quantum mechanics also uses probability. “Breaking: The logic of gambling undergirds our reality!!!”

digitaltrees

Great. But they are playing Russian roulette with my kids future.

instagib

Would have liked to see a mention of poiymarket website which was made for streamers to fake winning on polymarket. Swapped the l for I (eye) and it’s almost impossible to tell until they evaluated the winnings.

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