How much should we worry about the pneumonic plague lableak in Siberia?

babelfish 18 points 8 comments October 05, 2026
www.lesswrong.com · View on Hacker News

Discussion Highlights (7 comments)

ChrisArchitect

Related: Nearly 200 People Under Observation After Irkutsk Lab Worker Dies from Plague https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49960084

john_strinlai

> "Russian equivalent of HHS is now denying there was any accident at the lab at all. " ive seen this movie before

techblueberry

Is the "Why this might be a big deal". Just vibes? I see no references. Where does Genetically engineer variants could have an R0 of 5-12 come from. All the rest of them are just like "if this is bad, it could be bad." "If it wasn't a big deal, the Russian government wouldn't put much effort into covering it up." Isn't the Russian instinct just cover everything up? "If there is only one infection, then why quarantine 5 hospitals?" Because bad to the local community and bad to the world are two different metrics. It could be _real_ bad to the local community, without being threatening globally.

wewewedxfgdf

Given the choice, most things tend not to be catastrophic. Doesn't mean there aren't catastrophes - there are.

krunck

https://www.cdc.gov/plague/faq/ [1] ... 404 So obviously there is nothing to worry about [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pneumonic_plague#cite_note-CDC...

jmclnx

>Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan Surprised Mongolia is not doing the same, seems the City the lab is in is rather close to Mongolia. But until I read the blog, I felt there are no worries since the lab is in a very remote area. If we in the US had a functional CCD and still belonged to WHO, I would not care, but now I am a little bit concerned.

GianFabien

Here we go again! 2020 deja vu! Just in time for USA elections.

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