El Niño is coming. The last time ocean temp. looked like this, millions died

ResPublica 42 points 34 comments May 20, 2026
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Discussion Highlights (8 comments)

ath3nd

The seriousness of whats written is drowned in the fact that its written by AI.

xvxvx

There’s been so much climate alarmism since Al Gore decided to pivot to ‘hero of humanity’ that it barely registers for me now. I still have frozen rice and beans from covid. Hope they’re still good.

sublinear

"Millions Now Living Will Never Die"

psb5

Just imagine how much energy is required to produce that band at planetary scale.

delichon

I'm living in a New Mexico forest that is full of dead pinyon pine trees after a beetle blight caused by a long term drought. The wildfire danger is extreme. A super El Nino would be an answer to our prayers. I wouldn't choose it at the cost of millions dead, but for us it would be a gift from above. Not a pardon, but maybe a reprieve.

zaps

Stupid question: how do they know with such fidelity what the water temp was in the Pacific in 1877? It’s not like solid land where there are strata and whatnot that leave a geological record? Or is it?

wavemode

> NOAA has now placed the probability of a Super El Niño forming by winter at over 95%. This claim appears to be false. According to this article's own source, the probability of an El Niño of any severity forming is over 95%, but there is still "substantial uncertainty" about what that severity is going to be. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/e...

burnt-resistor

Btw, 100 years of forest fire elimination has left old growth trees vulnerable to death by scorching when forest fires do come through. The answer is a difficult one: for humans to move flammable litter away from the trunks of old growth trees manually; inconveniently, Rake America Great Again is partially correct, unintentionally. It's a problem that humans have created that nature cannot fix itself.

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